Trends in Extreme Precipitation Indices over Bhutan

نویسندگان

چکیده

With the changing climate, frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events are increasing. Climate change is projected to increase both mean precipitation. Socio-economic damages can be immense require a difficult recovery, especially for developing countries such as Bhutan. Furthermore, patterns affect land productivity water availability. The Experts Team on Change Detection Indices (ETCCDI) used find changes associated with in study important Bhutan, whose economy dependent agriculture hydropower. Even small country, there were varying different districts. Deothang district received less frequent more intense rainfall, while Haa, Bumthang, Trashiyangtse, Chukha weak but persistent rainfall. Mann–Kendall trends revealed drier climate two districts, Dagana wetter Mongar district. Modeling rainfall value theory (EVT) that generalized (GEV) distribution by their T = 50-year return value, indicating an increasing annual maximums all stations. This first its kind findings decision support planning appropriate adaptation strategies hydro-meteorological disasters, hydropower, sectors

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Atmosphere

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2073-4433']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos14071154